Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.030388 0.033146 0.035869 0.038754 0.041721 0.044676 0.047839
2024-12-22 0.024221 0.028634 0.033109 0.037961 0.043051 0.048212 0.053823
2024-12-29 0.020325 0.025834 0.031551 0.037864 0.044586 0.051488 0.059070
2025-01-05 0.017124 0.023393 0.030042 0.037503 0.045551 0.053895 0.063139
2025-01-12 0.014366 0.021172 0.028551 0.036959 0.046132 0.055727 0.066429
2025-01-19 0.011451 0.018536 0.026421 0.035558 0.045646 0.056291 0.068246
2025-01-26 0.010341 0.017882 0.026424 0.036428 0.047555 0.059357 0.072662
2025-02-02 0.008902 0.016721 0.025766 0.036489 0.048512 0.061336 0.075854
2025-02-09 0.007120 0.014995 0.024363 0.035635 0.048394 0.062091 0.077671
2025-02-16 0.006119 0.014173 0.023966 0.035880 0.049457 0.064095 0.080800
2025-02-23 0.005060 0.013180 0.023309 0.035782 0.050097 0.065604 0.083358
2025-03-02 0.004038 0.012134 0.022534 0.035505 0.050501 0.066822 0.085568
2025-03-09 0.003176 0.011333 0.022158 0.035838 0.051769 0.069185 0.089252
2025-03-16 0.001969 0.009830 0.020863 0.035092 0.051839 0.070266 0.091591
2025-03-23 0.001196 0.008831 0.020151 0.035001 0.052632 0.072129 0.094768
2025-03-30 0.000538 0.007759 0.019266 0.034652 0.053087 0.073581 0.097462
2025-04-06 0.000088 0.006672 0.018275 0.034123 0.053296 0.074724 0.099782
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005242 0.016671 0.032763 0.052482 0.074677 0.100746
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005024 0.016825 0.033607 0.054256 0.077546 0.104937
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004448 0.016386 0.033667 0.055077 0.079313 0.107881
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003516 0.015291 0.032838 0.054809 0.079814 0.109388
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003119 0.015028 0.033075 0.055804 0.081746 0.112482
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002619 0.014532 0.032980 0.056380 0.083182 0.115004